Friday 4 December 2020

November 2020 portfolio update

To the moon...ahem...markets predictably shot up in November as, not one, but three vaccines came charging over the horizon. Although the Astrazeneca version had a few doubts over it's data. And Pfizer's needs to be kept at super-duper (#science) cold temperatures. Still there was a palpable relief that there is some light at the end of the tunnel.

Lockdown2 is proving as tedious as expected. God knows what the rules are...however, Blighty appears to be fairing better than the US. The Trump experiment to ignore the virus until it goes away seems to have backfired somewhat as the numbers of infections and deaths coming out of the US are awful. I expect the xmas relaxation in the UK will be followed by lockdown3 in a couple of months...

Speaking of the orange buffoon, he lost. Hurrah. They can now wheel in Biden and try to fix some of the damage done by Trumpy. The predictions of market chaos were exaggerated as usual, the markets didn't seem to care as virus news, and the potential vaccines to protect us from it grabbed the headlines.

And Brexit, apparently it's still going on...

The portfolio had a good month, as the stocks most beaten up over this year had a sharp bounce the markets jumped. I've avoided many of these, whilst I missed out on some of the big falls earlier in the year, I also missed out on some of this month's recovery. Higher valuations and fast moving markets held me back a little this month, so the only change was a top up to an old timer.

Portfolio performance
The portfolio was up 4.5% in November, behind my chosen benchmark (Vanguard FTSE All Share Accumulation) which was up 12.2% over the same period.

Best performers this month:
SAGA +78%
Craneware +40%
Dignity +39%

Worst performers this month:
AB Dynamics -14%
National Grid -8%
Reckitt Benckiser -5%

November share purchase: TATE
Tate & Lyle (TATE) are probably best known for their sugar and syrup that you'll see when you stroll through the baking aisle at the supermarket. Which is ironic since they no longer have a sugar refining business. Their genesis was indeed the merger of two sugar refiners owned by a Mr Tate and a Mr Lyle, but the sugar business was sold along with the rights to use the brand over 10 years ago. Today they are an ingredients business - for food, drinks and for a range of industrial products.

They've been in the portfolio for a while, never shooting the lights out, but have been a steady dividend payer. I was impressed that during the height of the pandemic they were able and willing to continue to issue guidance and maintained their dividend, and according to their half year report have managed to reduce their nebt debt since March. Recent announcements include the purchase of a majority stake in a starch business based in Thailand, and buying the remaining stake of a sweetner business it had a small part of, which had facilities in China. Clearly the intention is to try to increase their footprint in Asia, which sounds rather sensible.

It isn't a business that I think has a particular competitive advantage since it essentially offers commoditised, bulk products that could be purchased elsewhere, although established relationships with food and beverage producers would be difficult to disrupt. And shifting to alternative ingredients is something a large food/ drink producer is unlikely to do at a whim. They are however a pretty defensive business, and unlikely to see much change in demand from economic cycles, and they seem to be well run. So I'm happy to pick up a few more of their shares.

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